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Web and product analytics

Marketing attribution models explained

By the editors of Analytics1.comLast reviewed 19 October 20262 min read

The short answer

An attribution model decides how credit for a conversion is shared across the touchpoints that came before it. Last-click gives it all to the final touch; first-click to the first; linear splits it evenly; time-decay favours recent touches; position-based favours first and last; data-driven uses your own conversion paths to assign weights. GA4 uses data-driven by default.

Key takeaways

  • Models only share out credit; the same $1,000 sale can be credited to three different channels.
  • Fixing tracking (UTMs, calls, lead outcomes) matters more than the choice of model.
  • Only a holdout test shows what a channel adds on top of what would have happened anyway.
On this page 6 sections
  1. One customer, six models
  2. What actually changes decisions
  3. Picking a model
  4. Incrementality
  5. Questions
  6. Sources

One customer, six models

A customer finds you through a Google search ad, comes back from your newsletter a week later, then returns by typing your address and buys a $1,000 job. Here is how each model splits the credit:

ModelPaid searchEmailDirect
Last click$0$0$1,000
Last non-direct click$0$1,000$0
First click$1,000$0$0
Linear$333$333$333
Time decay (illustrative)$200$300$500
Position based (40/20/40)$400$200$400

What actually changes decisions

For most small businesses the choice of model matters less than whether the data reaches the model at all. Untagged links, phone calls with no source, and leads that never get marked as sales distort every model equally. Fix tracking first: UTMs on every campaign, call tracking if the phone matters, and lead outcomes in your CRM.

Picking a model

  • Short purchase cycles (one or two visits): last non-direct click is usually fine.
  • Long B2B cycles: look at first-touch and multi-touch reports side by side to see which channels open conversations and which close them.
  • Enough conversion volume: GA4's data-driven model, accepting that it is a model and not a measurement.

Incrementality

Attribution shares out credit; it does not tell you what would have happened without a channel. Brand search ads, for example, often capture people who would have found you anyway. Turning a channel off in one region or for a few weeks and watching total leads is the honest test. Our significance calculator helps judge whether the difference is real.

Questions

Which attribution model does GA4 use?
Data-driven attribution by default for key events, with last click available as an alternative in the attribution settings.

Sources

Next step

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